County 12430, FL · Census Tract 12430280006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$688K
Downside (P10)
$489K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$824K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.37M
+99% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +99%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12430 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $688K | $783K | $756K | $763K | $824K |
| YoY Change | +13.8% | -3.5% | +1.0% | +7.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $598K | $528K | $468K | $489K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$582K to $863K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$489K to $1.37M
106.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $690K | $789K | +14.2% |
| Tract 080002 | $692K | $778K | +12.3% |
| Tract 360007 | $683K | $776K | +13.6% |
| Tract 920007 | $698K | $792K | +13.4% |
| Tract 520009 | $698K | $781K | +11.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960009 | $423K | $601K | +42.0% |
| Tract 240004 | $421K | $598K | +41.9% |
| Tract 560001 | $423K | $577K | +36.4% |
| Tract 800004 | $709K | $815K | +14.9% |
| Tract 320005 | $690K | $789K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560001 | $423K | $577K | $447K |
| Tract 240004 | $421K | $598K | $525K |
| Tract 960009 | $423K | $601K | $527K |
| Tract 200002 | $705K | $782K | $820K |
| Tract 360007 | $683K | $776K | $821K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources