County 12483, FL · Census Tract 12483160005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$887K
Downside (P10)
$514K
-42% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$875K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.43M
+61% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -42% to +61%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12483 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $887K | $936K | $876K | $838K | $875K |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | -6.5% | -4.3% | +4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $668K | $611K | $513K | $514K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$743K to $1.07M
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$514K to $1.43M
104.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240006 | $873K | $900K | +3.1% |
| Tract 200004 | $843K | $812K | -3.7% |
| Tract 400147 | $384K | $529K | +37.6% |
| Tract 400082 | $382K | $511K | +33.7% |
| Tract 400228 | $377K | $501K | +32.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400189 | $368K | $549K | +49.0% |
| Tract 400121 | $375K | $538K | +43.4% |
| Tract 400147 | $384K | $529K | +37.6% |
| Tract 400082 | $382K | $511K | +33.7% |
| Tract 400228 | $377K | $501K | +32.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400228 | $377K | $501K | $355K |
| Tract 400121 | $375K | $538K | $376K |
| Tract 400189 | $368K | $549K | $390K |
| Tract 400082 | $382K | $511K | $419K |
| Tract 400147 | $384K | $529K | $448K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources