County 12705, FL · Census Tract 12705000542 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.83M
Downside (P10)
$1.30M
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.94M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.38M
-16% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to -16%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 12705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.8M | $2.8M | $2.3M | $2.0M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | -2.7% | -15.4% | -13.7% | -3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.0M | $1.6M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.39M to $3.11M
25.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.30M to $2.38M
55.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000089 | $2.76M | $1.87M | -32.2% |
| Tract 002304 | $2.92M | $2.10M | -27.9% |
| Tract 002469 | $2.93M | $1.97M | -32.7% |
| Tract 001981 | $2.97M | $2.01M | -32.2% |
| Tract 002346 | $2.32M | $1.68M | -27.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001800 | $1.16M | $890K | -23.0% |
| Tract 001305 | $1.53M | $1.14M | -25.5% |
| Tract 001224 | $2.11M | $1.55M | -26.2% |
| Tract 001004 | $1.11M | $816K | -26.3% |
| Tract 002346 | $2.32M | $1.68M | -27.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001004 | $1.11M | $816K | $942K |
| Tract 001800 | $1.16M | $890K | $1.02M |
| Tract 001224 | $2.11M | $1.55M | $1.03M |
| Tract 001923 | $1.56M | $1.10M | $1.05M |
| Tract 000102 | $1.91M | $1.38M | $1.06M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources