County 12605, FL · Census Tract 12605000464 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.71M
Downside (P10)
$658K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.22M
-29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.82M
+6% by 2030
Base case: -29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +6%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12605 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | -3.9% | -14.9% | -11.9% | -1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $961K | $784K | $685K | $658K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.28M to $2.03M
43.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$658K to $1.82M
95.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000561 | $1.70M | $1.14M | -33.1% |
| Tract 000406 | $1.72M | $1.19M | -31.1% |
| Tract 000228 | $1.68M | $1.29M | -22.9% |
| Tract 001188 | $1.80M | $1.30M | -27.7% |
| Tract 001502 | $1.83M | $1.21M | -33.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001201 | $1.89M | $1.62M | -14.7% |
| Tract 000066 | $1.54M | $1.21M | -21.0% |
| Tract 000228 | $1.68M | $1.29M | -22.9% |
| Tract 000901 | $2.20M | $1.68M | -23.7% |
| Tract 001528 | $1.91M | $1.43M | -25.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001201 | $1.89M | $1.62M | $915K |
| Tract 001340 | $1.84M | $1.37M | $952K |
| Tract 000804 | $1.83M | $1.31M | $1.04M |
| Tract 000147 | $1.59M | $1.08M | $1.08M |
| Tract 000561 | $1.70M | $1.14M | $1.10M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources