County 12226, FL · Census Tract 12226000186 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$224K
+5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$338K
+58% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+130% by 2030
Base case: +58% by 2030, with a forecast range from +5% to +130%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12226 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $214K | $256K | $282K | $293K | $338K |
| YoY Change | +19.8% | +10.0% | +4.0% | +15.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $201K | $204K | $201K | $224K | |
| Upside (P90) | $323K | $372K | $422K | $491K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$190K to $262K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$224K to $491K
78.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001143 | $213K | $301K | +41.4% |
| Tract 000762 | $215K | $319K | +48.2% |
| Tract 000380 | $216K | $352K | +62.7% |
| Tract 000924 | $220K | $328K | +49.3% |
| Tract 000128 | $225K | $359K | +59.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000380 | $216K | $352K | +62.7% |
| Tract 000128 | $225K | $359K | +59.8% |
| Tract 001567 | $108K | $165K | +52.8% |
| Tract 000461 | $107K | $160K | +49.7% |
| Tract 000924 | $220K | $328K | +49.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001101 | $109K | $148K | $132K |
| Tract 001606 | $110K | $156K | $136K |
| Tract 000461 | $107K | $160K | $142K |
| Tract 000982 | $108K | $155K | $144K |
| Tract 000526 | $111K | $161K | $144K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources