County 11955, DC · Census Tract 11955001266 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.16M
Downside (P10)
$1.68M
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.55M
-39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.22M
-22% by 2030
Base case: -39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to -22%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 11955 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.2M | $3.8M | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.5M |
| YoY Change | -8.6% | -18.1% | -13.8% | -5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.8M | $2.2M | $1.8M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.4M | $3.8M | $3.3M | $3.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.26M to $4.54M
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.68M to $3.22M
60.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000940 | $4.21M | $2.80M | -33.7% |
| Tract 000843 | $4.09M | $2.49M | -39.1% |
| Tract 000788 | $4.06M | $2.42M | -40.3% |
| Tract 000526 | $4.03M | $2.43M | -39.6% |
| Tract 000542 | $4.01M | $2.36M | -41.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100028 | $5.29M | $5.45M | +3.0% |
| Tract 001046 | $2.42M | $1.76M | -27.1% |
| Tract 000801 | $2.45M | $1.72M | -30.0% |
| Tract 001282 | $2.48M | $1.73M | -30.1% |
| Tract 000160 | $2.19M | $1.47M | -33.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000160 | $2.19M | $1.47M | $1.08M |
| Tract 000267 | $2.32M | $1.50M | $1.18M |
| Tract 000186 | $2.27M | $1.34M | $1.26M |
| Tract 001046 | $2.42M | $1.76M | $1.32M |
| Tract 001282 | $2.48M | $1.73M | $1.33M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources