County 09155, CT · Census Tract 09155001926 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$543K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$952K
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+18% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to +18%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 09155 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $955K | $952K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | -9.4% | -11.7% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $755K | $648K | $558K | $543K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$833K to $1.53M
57.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$543K to $1.42M
92.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000969 | $1.16M | $873K | -24.4% |
| Tract 001324 | $1.14M | $829K | -27.6% |
| Tract 002129 | $1.14M | $802K | -29.5% |
| Tract 000464 | $1.28M | $939K | -26.4% |
| Tract 002103 | $1.13M | $859K | -24.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000260 | $746K | $704K | -5.6% |
| Tract 000202 | $1.02M | $859K | -15.3% |
| Tract 001049 | $895K | $755K | -15.6% |
| Tract 000723 | $869K | $730K | -16.0% |
| Tract 000600 | $880K | $734K | -16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000260 | $746K | $704K | $764K |
| Tract 001049 | $895K | $755K | $781K |
| Tract 000464 | $1.28M | $939K | $797K |
| Tract 000202 | $1.02M | $859K | $818K |
| Tract 000600 | $880K | $734K | $837K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources