County 08531, CO · Census Tract 08531440005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.62M
Downside (P10)
$1.62M
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.38M
-34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.90M
-20% by 2030
Base case: -34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -20%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 08531 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.6M | $3.4M | $2.9M | $2.5M | $2.4M |
| YoY Change | -6.2% | -14.4% | -14.5% | -4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.7M | $2.1M | $1.7M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.9M | $3.4M | $3.0M | $2.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.16M to $3.94M
21.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.62M to $2.90M
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320002 | $2.99M | $1.81M | -39.3% |
| Tract 080009 | $2.90M | $1.89M | -34.9% |
| Tract 920004 | $2.66M | $1.78M | -33.1% |
| Tract 880005 | $2.48M | $1.77M | -28.6% |
| Tract 960145 | $590K | $790K | +33.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960145 | $590K | $790K | +33.8% |
| Tract 880005 | $2.48M | $1.77M | -28.6% |
| Tract 920004 | $2.66M | $1.78M | -33.1% |
| Tract 080009 | $2.90M | $1.89M | -34.9% |
| Tract 320002 | $2.99M | $1.81M | -39.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960145 | $590K | $790K | $945K |
| Tract 880005 | $2.48M | $1.77M | $1.03M |
| Tract 920004 | $2.66M | $1.78M | $1.31M |
| Tract 080009 | $2.90M | $1.89M | $1.43M |
| Tract 320002 | $2.99M | $1.81M | $1.65M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources