County 08130, CO · Census Tract 08130320005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$998K
Downside (P10)
$746K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$952K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.27M
+27% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +27%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 08130 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $998K | $1.0M | $951K | $929K | $952K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | -8.7% | -2.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $869K | $778K | $706K | $746K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$914K to $1.16M
24.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$746K to $1.27M
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960009 | $929K | $896K | -3.5% |
| Tract 920007 | $772K | $818K | +5.9% |
| Tract 880008 | $765K | $811K | +6.0% |
| Tract 640002 | $747K | $854K | +14.3% |
| Tract 160003 | $746K | $822K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 122009 | $679K | $782K | +15.2% |
| Tract 640002 | $747K | $854K | +14.3% |
| Tract 160003 | $746K | $822K | +10.2% |
| Tract 880008 | $765K | $811K | +6.0% |
| Tract 920007 | $772K | $818K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 122009 | $679K | $782K | $733K |
| Tract 880008 | $765K | $811K | $835K |
| Tract 640002 | $747K | $854K | $846K |
| Tract 160003 | $746K | $822K | $886K |
| Tract 920007 | $772K | $818K | $888K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources