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County 04838, AZ · Census Tract 04838000113 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$450K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$520K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$600K
+20% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +20%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 04838 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $520K | $520K | $520K | $520K | $520K |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $450K | $450K | $450K | $450K | |
| Upside (P90) | $600K | $600K | $600K | $600K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$450K to $600K
28.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$450K to $600K
28.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources