County 04703, AZ · Census Tract 04703B02300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$301K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+112% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +112%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 04703 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $214K | $248K | $273K | $288K | $301K |
| YoY Change | +16.0% | +9.7% | +5.5% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $210K | $207K | $209K | $205K | |
| Upside (P90) | $304K | $354K | $402K | $454K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$193K to $248K
25.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$205K to $454K
82.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract B02200 | $224K | $326K | +45.7% |
| Tract B02400 | $168K | $236K | +40.5% |
| Tract B03100 | $147K | $222K | +50.7% |
| Tract B00600 | $145K | $232K | +60.1% |
| Tract 000102 | $55K | $88K | +58.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract B00600 | $145K | $232K | +60.1% |
| Tract 000102 | $55K | $88K | +58.9% |
| Tract B03100 | $147K | $222K | +50.7% |
| Tract B02200 | $224K | $326K | +45.7% |
| Tract A00800 | $374K | $541K | +44.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000102 | $55K | $88K | $123K |
| Tract B03100 | $147K | $222K | $165K |
| Tract B02400 | $168K | $236K | $202K |
| Tract B00600 | $145K | $232K | $208K |
| Tract B02200 | $224K | $326K | $270K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources