County 04055, AZ · Census Tract 04055002600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+51% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$341K
+140% by 2030
Base case: +51% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +140%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 04055 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $142K | $173K | $192K | $206K | $215K |
| YoY Change | +21.6% | +11.1% | +7.3% | +4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $137K | $139K | $145K | $140K | |
| Upside (P90) | $227K | $278K | $306K | $341K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$127K to $170K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$140K to $341K
93.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $141K | $207K | +46.8% |
| Tract 000800 | $141K | $216K | +53.3% |
| Tract 000500 | $140K | $209K | +48.6% |
| Tract 001800 | $137K | $208K | +52.5% |
| Tract 002200 | $136K | $204K | +50.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003800 | $170K | $282K | +66.3% |
| Tract 003600 | $123K | $196K | +59.2% |
| Tract 002400 | $167K | $260K | +55.9% |
| Tract 002800 | $193K | $296K | +53.6% |
| Tract 000800 | $141K | $216K | +53.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000100 | $122K | $181K | $154K |
| Tract 000200 | $141K | $207K | $166K |
| Tract 001800 | $137K | $208K | $180K |
| Tract 003600 | $123K | $196K | $182K |
| Tract 002200 | $136K | $204K | $190K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources