County 05819, AR · Census Tract 05819000918 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$392K
Downside (P10)
$446K
+14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$576K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$762K
+95% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from +14% to +95%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 05819 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $392K | $452K | $507K | $537K | $576K |
| YoY Change | +15.4% | +12.2% | +5.9% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $396K | $415K | $419K | $446K | |
| Upside (P90) | $524K | $610K | $680K | $762K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$352K to $437K
21.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$446K to $762K
54.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000203 | $403K | $584K | +44.9% |
| Tract 000815 | $372K | $573K | +54.3% |
| Tract A00300 | $414K | $569K | +37.6% |
| Tract 00040A | $358K | $524K | +46.3% |
| Tract 000905 | $427K | $602K | +41.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000301 | $186K | $295K | +58.9% |
| Tract 000302 | $221K | $349K | +57.6% |
| Tract 000001 | $150K | $236K | +57.4% |
| Tract A01200 | $116K | $181K | +56.2% |
| Tract 001022 | $123K | $190K | +54.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources