County 05819, AR · Census Tract 0581900000C · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$32K
Downside (P10)
$28K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$49K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$91K
+185% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +185%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 05819 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $32K | $39K | $43K | $46K | $49K |
| YoY Change | +22.7% | +9.5% | +7.1% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $31K | $28K | $28K | $28K | |
| Upside (P90) | $56K | $67K | $80K | $91K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$28K to $40K
38.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$28K to $91K
129.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000301 | $186K | $295K | +58.9% |
| Tract 000302 | $221K | $349K | +57.6% |
| Tract 000001 | $150K | $236K | +57.4% |
| Tract A01200 | $116K | $181K | +56.2% |
| Tract 001022 | $123K | $190K | +54.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources