County 05649, AR · Census Tract 05649A01404 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$318K
Downside (P10)
$344K
+8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$463K
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$677K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +8% to +113%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 05649 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $318K | $371K | $417K | $435K | $463K |
| YoY Change | +16.6% | +12.3% | +4.3% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $321K | $335K | $335K | $344K | |
| Upside (P90) | $457K | $545K | $600K | $677K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$286K to $357K
22.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$344K to $677K
71.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A04600 | $311K | $418K | +34.5% |
| Tract A00A16 | $273K | $393K | +44.2% |
| Tract A02900 | $271K | $413K | +52.5% |
| Tract A00A02 | $269K | $398K | +47.9% |
| Tract A0050A | $267K | $339K | +26.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A00800 | $131K | $217K | +66.3% |
| Tract A03100 | $228K | $353K | +54.7% |
| Tract A02900 | $271K | $413K | +52.5% |
| Tract B00700 | $242K | $362K | +49.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A00A06 | $146K | $216K | $163K |
| Tract A00800 | $131K | $217K | $188K |
| Tract A03500 | $160K | $236K | $204K |
| Tract B01000 | $166K | $248K | $218K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources