County 05488, AR · Census Tract 05488A03100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$189K
Downside (P10)
$199K
+5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$292K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+140% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from +5% to +140%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 05488 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $189K | $228K | $247K | $272K | $292K |
| YoY Change | +20.7% | +8.6% | +10.2% | +7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $185K | $188K | $195K | $199K | |
| Upside (P90) | $279K | $330K | $382K | $454K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$167K to $223K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$199K to $454K
87.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A0060A | $153K | $246K | +60.3% |
| Tract A03200 | $233K | $348K | +49.2% |
| Tract A03000 | $138K | $209K | +52.1% |
| Tract A01600 | $130K | $201K | +54.6% |
| Tract A02600 | $127K | $193K | +51.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A0060A | $153K | $246K | +60.3% |
| Tract A00200 | $124K | $198K | +59.9% |
| Tract 000000 | $262K | $414K | +57.9% |
| Tract A01600 | $130K | $201K | +54.6% |
| Tract A03000 | $138K | $209K | +52.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A0060A | $153K | $246K | $183K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources