County 01872, AL · Census Tract 01872000504 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$50K
Downside (P10)
$47K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$84K
+68% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$154K
+209% by 2030
Base case: +68% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +209%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 01872 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $50K | $63K | $69K | $79K | $84K |
| YoY Change | +25.5% | +10.9% | +13.1% | +6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $48K | $47K | $48K | $47K | |
| Upside (P90) | $88K | $110K | $136K | $154K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$43K to $63K
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$47K to $154K
127.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $79K | $119K | +51.1% |
| Tract 000500 | $89K | $142K | +58.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000106 | $226K | $374K | +65.4% |
| Tract 000500 | $89K | $142K | +58.3% |
| Tract 000200 | $79K | $119K | +51.1% |
| Tract 001201 | $144K | $215K | +49.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $79K | $119K | $152K |
| Tract 000500 | $89K | $142K | $159K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources