County 01214, AL · Census Tract 01214920551 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$43K
Downside (P10)
$38K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$70K
+63% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$137K
+219% by 2030
Base case: +63% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +219%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 01214 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $43K | $55K | $59K | $65K | $70K |
| YoY Change | +27.7% | +7.6% | +9.1% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $36K | $36K | $38K | $38K | |
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $103K | $116K | $137K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$33K to $68K
82.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$38K to $137K
141.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920959 | $57K | $84K | +48.2% |
| Tract 920904 | $58K | $73K | +25.4% |
| Tract 240008 | $61K | $80K | +30.3% |
| Tract 600004 | $62K | $84K | +35.8% |
| Tract 921152 | $62K | $85K | +37.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 921204 | $131K | $212K | +61.8% |
| Tract 000400 | $75K | $117K | +56.7% |
| Tract 000100 | $147K | $222K | +50.9% |
| Tract 080006 | $189K | $283K | +50.0% |
| Tract 720007 | $105K | $156K | +49.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920904 | $58K | $73K | $82K |
| Tract 240008 | $61K | $80K | $102K |
| Tract 920959 | $57K | $84K | $110K |
| Tract 921152 | $62K | $85K | $121K |
| Tract 600004 | $62K | $84K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources