County 02941, AK · Census Tract 02941B00109 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$103K
Downside (P10)
$91K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$163K
+58% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$274K
+164% by 2030
Base case: +58% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +164%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 02941 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $125K | $139K | $152K | $163K |
| YoY Change | +20.9% | +11.1% | +9.6% | +7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $94K | $93K | $91K | |
| Upside (P90) | $159K | $193K | $238K | $274K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$90K to $122K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$91K to $274K
112.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract B00105 | $114K | $187K | +63.9% |
| Tract A01300 | $118K | $182K | +54.5% |
| Tract B00113 | $135K | $222K | +65.2% |
| Tract 000100 | $160K | $246K | +53.3% |
| Tract A01600 | $190K | $280K | +47.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract B00113 | $135K | $222K | +65.2% |
| Tract B00105 | $114K | $187K | +63.9% |
| Tract A01400 | $226K | $353K | +56.3% |
| Tract A01000 | $265K | $412K | +55.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A01300 | $118K | $182K | $176K |
| Tract B00113 | $135K | $222K | $182K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources