County 02792, AK · Census Tract 02792A02000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$139K
Downside (P10)
$136K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$197K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$305K
+119% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +119%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 02792 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $139K | $158K | $168K | $181K | $197K |
| YoY Change | +13.4% | +6.5% | +7.6% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $134K | $135K | $133K | $136K | |
| Upside (P90) | $199K | $239K | $281K | $305K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$125K to $160K
25.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$136K to $305K
86.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A01600 | $122K | $189K | +55.5% |
| Tract 000000 | $157K | $228K | +45.0% |
| Tract A01300 | $110K | $174K | +58.1% |
| Tract A00200 | $109K | $170K | +55.4% |
| Tract A02800 | $77K | $125K | +62.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A02800 | $77K | $125K | +62.1% |
| Tract A01300 | $110K | $174K | +58.1% |
| Tract A01600 | $122K | $189K | +55.5% |
| Tract A00200 | $109K | $170K | +55.4% |
| Tract 000000 | $157K | $228K | +45.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A02800 | $77K | $125K | $148K |
| Tract A01300 | $110K | $174K | $159K |
| Tract A00200 | $109K | $170K | $181K |
| Tract A01600 | $122K | $189K | $184K |
| Tract 000000 | $157K | $228K | $204K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources