County 02335, AK · Census Tract 02335A00400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$435K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$613K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$870K
+100% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +100%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 02335 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $435K | $498K | $540K | $566K | $613K |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +8.3% | +4.8% | +8.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $421K | $415K | $431K | |
| Upside (P90) | $597K | $690K | $766K | $870K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$388K to $489K
23.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$431K to $870K
71.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A02400 | $428K | $598K | +39.7% |
| Tract 001900 | $461K | $619K | +34.2% |
| Tract A00500 | $381K | $557K | +46.1% |
| Tract A01900 | $335K | $498K | +48.6% |
| Tract 002300 | $196K | $290K | +48.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001100 | $185K | $289K | +56.5% |
| Tract 000101 | $165K | $249K | +50.8% |
| Tract A01900 | $335K | $498K | +48.6% |
| Tract 002300 | $196K | $290K | +48.0% |
| Tract A00500 | $381K | $557K | +46.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000300 | $191K | $266K | $189K |
| Tract 002300 | $196K | $290K | $218K |
| Tract 001100 | $185K | $289K | $240K |
| Tract 000101 | $165K | $249K | $269K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources